MESSY FRINGE

The messy fringe is our blogging platform. It is a mixture of vignettes, essays and analysis which we feel is of value.

Defining ‘Horizon scanning’?

Defining ‘Horizon scanning’?

I’ve been trying to determine what ‘horizon scanning’ actually means. In doing so, I’ve dug out some definitions of the term over the years and come up with a shorter definition of the term for further discussion. Doing such a basic analysis shows that what used to be a term for a form of futures [...]

Openness, editing and policy.

Openness, editing and policy.

@ChrisEvett

When I started work on the Global Strategic Trends Programme back in 2007, we spent most of our time and energy producing compelling narratives about the future. Back then, we prioritized this as the best way to go – in our defence, this was because we knew no different. We genuinely thought it was [...]

What the General said.

What the General said.

The General preferred it when times had been simpler. When men had been men and, come to think of it, so had the women. He’d been called to attend some kind of ‘brain storm’ and they were making him sit at the head of a series of tables laid out in a horseshoe shape. Twenty [...]

Future families

Future families

There has been a long established global trend for the average family size to decrease. Since 1950, the global average has gone from around 5 children per woman, to 2.5 by 2010.

Projections from the UN population prospects database suggest that this trend will continue. All regions will see a decline in family size, [...]

Pigeon6

Pigeon6

This is a story about machines, AI and accountability. In the future just what will we want our machines to understand and what will we understand ourselves?

Pigeon6

Weaver looked up at the sky filled with matt black metal pigeons carrying goods and papers in and out of the Global Centre For Government [...]

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